Labor Day 2015 is not a hopeful occasion for American workers, given the changing workplace where humans are becoming less needed because of smart machines.
CBS News had a sobering report on Saturday about technological unemployment. NYU Professor Gary Marcus remarked, “Eventually I think most jobs will be replaced, like 75 or 80 percent of the people are not going to work for a living.”
How an economy or society could work based on 80 percent unemployment has not been sorted out. Fortunately the state of mega-joblessness based on unstoppable technology is decades in the future, although we are feeling the initial effects now in the jobless recovery. A 2013 examination done by the Associated Press found that much of the failure of the jobs economy is due to the increasing use of automation, robots and computers to perform the tasks formerly done by humans:
NEW YORK (AP) — Five years after the start of the Great Recession, the toll is terrifyingly clear: Millions of middle-class jobs have been lost in developed countries the world over.
And the situation is even worse than it appears.
Most of the jobs will never return, and millions more are likely to vanish as well, say experts who study the labor market. What’s more, these jobs aren’t just being lost to China and other developing countries, and they aren’t just factory work. Increasingly, jobs are disappearing in the service sector, home to two-thirds of all workers.
They’re being obliterated by technology.
Year after year, the software that runs computers and an array of other machines and devices becomes more sophisticated and powerful and capable of doing more efficiently tasks that humans have always done. For decades, science fiction warned of a future when we would be architects of our own obsolescence, replaced by our machines; an Associated Press analysis finds that the future has arrived.
“The jobs that are going away aren’t coming back,” says Andrew McAfee, principal research scientist at the Center for Digital Business at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and co-author of “Race Against the Machine.” `’I have never seen a period where computers demonstrated as many skills and abilities as they have over the past seven years.”
Since that conversation, the jobs issue has attracted more attention. Recently, two books from technology experts in Silicon Valley foretell a potentially jobless future.
Jerry Kaplan is author of the just-released “Humans Need Not Apply: A Guide to Wealth and Work in the Age of Artificial Intelligence.”
“The new coming wave of automation is blind to the color of your collar,” Kaplan said.
Kaplan said that in the next decade or two, driverless cars could put many of the more than three million licensed professional drivers around the country out of work. While automation long ago revolutionized the assembly line, advances in big data computing power could soon downsize the traditional white collar workforce as well.
“Even what you think of as advanced professions that require a great deal of specialization and expertise, the vast majority of the work is routine, and it’s those routine tasks which can be now taken over by computers, so that what used to take the work of 20 lawyers may be done by five lawyers, or 20 doctors may be done by five doctors,” Kaplan said. Continue reading this article
Geert Wilders, a member of the Dutch Parliament, has been a leader against hostile Islam for years, and he is naturally unhappy to see the insanely dangerous invasion of Europe occurring now. He recommends the Australian solution of turning back the migrants before they arrive, a technique which has worked.
He recently spoke on a Youtube message in Dutch aimed at a national audience, but his remarks hold true for all of Europe.
Hello everyone. In The Netherlands we’re overloaded with asylum refugees. It’s an invasion threatening our prosperity and our country. The Hague blandly abandons us. Premier Rutte keeps our borders wide open for fortune-hunters. We must save our country.
Of course real refugees must be taken care of. However, that must be done in the region itself, not here. The Gulf states, Saudi Arabia, those sorts of rich countries, take care of a meager couple of hundred refugees annually.
In The Netherlands, many thousands arrive every month. That can no longer be done. Every refugee costs us €36,000 annually. They receive free medical care, a house, government care. Never have these people contributed a single cent to our economy. Even so, billions are spent on them, while our elderly are left out in the cold. Continue reading this article
It’s nice to learn that not everyone in Mexifornia is completely insane about the government shielding foreign lawbreakers. Even a majority of Democrats — 73 percent! — think illegal alien criminals should not be a protected class. Who knew?
Californians strongly oppose “sanctuary city” policies under which local authorities ignore federal requests to detain undocumented immigrants who have been arrested but are about to be released, according to a new poll released today by the Institute of Governmental Studies (IGS) at UC Berkeley.
That opposition comes from strong majorities in both major political parties and among independent voters, and crosses other demographic categories. Almost two out of three Latinos said they oppose such policies.
The online survey, which polled 1,098 California residents from Aug. 11-26, found that 74 percent of respondents said local authorities should not be able to ignore a federal request to hold a detained person who is in the country illegally. Only 26 percent of respondents said local authorities should have that right.
Opposition to the sanctuary city policies crossed the political spectrum, and included 73 percent of Democrats, 82 percent of Republicans and 71 percent of independents. Continue reading this article
Jobs and the economy are a big topic in the Presidential campaign, but I haven’t heard anyone discuss the threat of automation even though technological unemployment extends from factory work to white collar occupations like law and finance. The candidates promote retraining for the jobless, but that response is no longer a solution in the big automated economy, according to Ford.
ELEANOR HALL: Well, let’s go now to that warming from a Silicon Valley entrepreneur that robots are advancing so quickly that they’re now taking over even creative jobs, and that we’re not facing up to the global shock this will deliver.
Martin Ford is the founder of a Silicon Valley software development company and has just written his second book: The Rise of the Robots: Technology and the threat of mass unemployment.
ELEANOR HALL: Now technology is normally associated with improving human lives, even when it’s taken over people’s jobs, it’s created new jobs and continued to see economies thrive, yet your book is practically shouting at us to sit up and take notice, this technology shift that we’re living through is different.
What is different this time and why should we be concerned out it?
MARTIN FORD: Well, it is different. There’s no doubt that technology has been a very positive force and I think that it can continue to be a very positive force, but I do think this time is different.
Today’s technology, the machines and the algorithms and the robots are, to some degree, becoming intelligent. It’s not just about doing manual labour as it was in the past.
Now we’ve got robots and machines and algorithms that are taking over brain power and it’s much more broad based. It’s ubiquitous, these technologies are everywhere.
They’re going to invade every industry across the board.
ELEANOR HALL: And you make a pretty terrifying prediction that the latest wave of technological change could in fact trigger economic and social collapse?
MARTIN FORD: Well, if you take it to its extreme, and that assumes that we don’t do anything to adapt to it, what potentially could happen is that things will just become more and more and more unequal.
So what will happen is that all the income throughout the economy is going to really accrue to the people that own the machines and especially in countries like the United States which are, you know, much more unequal than Australia already, that’s a tiny number of people, and we’re seeing that drive toward increased inequality happening really throughout the world.
It will get worse and worse, and what that means is that you’ll have fewer and fewer people that really have the means to thrive and you’ll have fewer and fewer consumers out there to buy the products and the services that are produced, so that’s sort of a recipe for a downward spiral. Continue reading this article
Dale Hurd has done another of his European reports where he finds interesting people to interview. From the latest, I learned that Muslim gangs in Malmo, Sweden, chuck hand grenades at rivals during their rumbles, a new diversity fact.
The failures of multicultural immigration keep piling up, but Europeans are undaunted, or at least their ruling elites are determined to stay the course. Pro-sovereignty parties are becoming more popular particularly in smaller nations, but the more powerful countries like Germany and France still favor the open borders model of the European Union.
LONDON — It is a staggering humanitarian crisis: the largest refugee influx since World War II. More than 300,000 Africans and Asians have crossed Europe’s border this year, double last year’s pace. Hundreds more have died trying in just the past few weeks.
The other side of this tragedy is how it will change Europe. Non-Western migrants had already been flooding into Europe for decades. Leaders refused to stop it for many reasons. Some saw migrants as cheap labor. Others were afraid of being branded racists for opposing it.
But long before this present crisis, experts were asking if Europe would still be Europe if immigrants someday outnumbered natives.
The Great Replacement
“It’s increasingly clear in Western European countries that as populations reach a tipping point, that there are increasing groups of people,” George Igler, with London’s Discourse Institute, told CBN News.
“If the political establishment continues to get its way, in five, in 10, in 15 years, how many Germans are going to be left in Germany?” he asked. “How many French people are going to be left in France? How many English people are going to be left in England?”
French writer Renaud Camus calls the influx “the great replacement” and says it is the biggest thing to happen to France since the 15th century.
“Because what is happening, the population is changing,” he explained. “Can France be the same with a different people? And obviously, the answer is no.” Continue reading this article
Just when you think crazy utopian liberalism has gone about as far as it can go, you see the outer limits declared on the front page of the New York Times, as happened on Tuesday’s paper that headlined “Crisis Tests European Core Value: Open Borders.”
Silly me, I thought the Schengen Agreement creating a borderless area was designed to increase trade and make trans-Europe travel easier for citizens and tourists. The idea that it is now being used to facilitate illegal immigration for thousands of economic grifters is very odd, to say the least.
PETER SPIEGEL: Well, Germany is, and this is, I think, probably unique because of Germany’s history. You know, obviously they have sort of a still, you know, historical duty, I think, they feel – and Merkel has said this – to welcome refugees because of the Nazi atrocities of World War II.
Really? Wouldn’t it be better to avoid a sharia future for Europe rather than wallow in useless penitence for last century’s crimes?
Somebody should tell Merkel that borders exist to keep enemies out. A January poll showed 57 percent of Germans believe Islam is a threat, but she isn’t listening to them. Perhaps the ghost of Charles Martel — who defeated the Muslims invading France in the Battle of Tours — can whisper the simple wisdom of borders in her ear.
VIENNA — The desperate migrants and asylum seekers now flooding into Europe by the tens of thousands, and the inability so far to accommodate them in an organized way, may be starting to fray Europe’s commitment to erase old borders.
The evidence was on stark display Monday, as the Austrian authorities disrupted traffic from Hungary, causing backups of at least 12 miles, while inspecting vehicles for smuggled migrants. The crackdown could last indefinitely.
The official explanation was to avert another mass death of migrants like those found in an unventilated truck near Vienna last week, believed to be victims of a smuggling ring. But the practical consequences of the crackdown mean that routine passport-free travel between Hungary and Austria is no longer routine.
In another disruption, trains from Hungary packed with migrants, many apparently seeking refuge in Germany, were stalled at the Hungary-Austria frontier for hours. By evening all were allowed to proceed amid some confusion about how far west the trains would go and whether all their passengers would be permitted to continue traveling.
German and Austrian officials also increased controls in their border region, with the official explanation that they were seeking to stop human traffickers.
And Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, in some of her strongest language yet on the subject, warned that freedom of travel among the 28 member states of the European Union could be imperiled if they did not agree on a shared response.
“If Europe fails on the question of refugees, if this close link with universal civil rights is broken, then it won’t be the Europe we wished for,” Ms. Merkel told reporters in Berlin.
Unfettered movements of people and goods in the European Union, the world’s largest economic bloc, is a precept of its cohesion, like the free flow within the United States. Continue reading this article
The parents of Kate Steinle appeared with their lawyer in a Tuesday news conference in front of San Francisco City Hall to announce a suit against the city and government agencies for failing to follow immigration law, negligence which led to the death of their daughter.
Below, the late Kate Steinle (left) and her parents Jim Steinle and Liz Sullivan (right) with accused killer Francisco Sanchez (inset).
Here’s a few clips of the presser from AP:
Bill O’Reilly dedicated his opening segment to the Steinle case. He has proposed “Kate’s Law” to end such preventable crimes by severely increasing the punishment of deported felons who return to this country.
Liberal values in San Francisco are so extreme that elites believe it’s better to award special privileges to illegal aliens (because they are seen as victims) rather than protect public safety. SF libs think they are superior to the rest of us because they are on the side of the diverse downtrodden masses, even when they are criminals.
It’s good to see Jaxon Van Derbeken still writing on illegal aliens in San Francisco. In 2009 he won the Katz Award from the Center for Immigration Studies for his excellence in reporting the Bologna murders and the whole swamp of crazy sanctuary policy.
The parents of a San Francisco woman shot to death in July by an immigrant who was facing possible deportation filed legal claims Tuesday against the city and federal governments, saying their negligence led to her killing.
The chain of events that ended in Kathryn Steinle’s death began when a federal Bureau of Land Management agent left his gun in a backpack that someone stole out of the backseat of his car in San Francisco, said the claim filed on behalf of her parents, Jim Steinle and Liz Sullivan of Livermore.
Within four days, the gun came into the hands of 45-year-old Juan Francisco Lopez-Sanchez — a Mexican immigrant who would probably have been deported, Steinle’s parents say, had San Francisco Sheriff Ross Mirkarimi not released him from jail without alerting federal officials.
Steinle’s killing brought national attention to San Francisco’s sanctuary-city policies that, in many cases, discourage cooperation with the federal Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency. It also focused attention on whether law enforcement officials are doing enough to safeguard their guns from thieves — the Steinle case was one of three recently in the Bay Area in which unattended firearms were stolen from authorities’ cars.
Now, her slaying could result in lawsuits against the city, the Bureau of Land Management and ICE if, as is typically the case, officials reject the legal claims. The claims do not specify what damages the family is seeking. Continue reading this article
Monday’s San Francisco Chronicle has an article that’s an immigration two-fer. The paper’s front page shows an Indian immigrant kid playing cricket in an East Bay suburb, because what foreigner wants to play baseball in America any more? Assimilation would be too much to ask of today’s diverse global citizens, and anyway it might hurt their delicate self-esteem.
Below, East Bay development. Chronicle caption: “Development continues in the Tri-Valley with grading along Tassajara Road for more homes in East Dublin near San Ramon. The region is now a booming suburb that’s home to thousands of new Asian residents.”
Have citizens been convinced by government to let their lawns die so developers can get rich by importing thousands of immigrants during a historic drought? That’s what it looks like.
And there are quite a number of new water-using cricket fans from India, as we learn in lower paragraphs: San Ramon’s Indian population increased 600 percent from 2000 to 2013, reaching 9,720 in the latter year.
Local citizens have tried to limit development through the initiative process, with some successes. Still, there’s plenty of agricultural land that remains unpaved, and developers intend to change that by constructing some nice expensive $uburb$ for immigrant$. Cha-ching!
On one end of a 22-yard strip of green carpet stretched across a ball field in San Ramon, a boy gets a running start and heaves a tennis ball as hard as he can.
It bounces a few times before a boy on the other end smashes it with paddle. A third boy nearly snags the ball, barehand, but it fumbles out.
Clint Copeland, who has coached cricket in the Bay Area for four years and played for “too many,” can’t contain his joy. “Nice shot, great bowl, good effort,” he yells. “I enjoy it more than they do. How can you not enjoy it when you see a kid do that?”
Cricket is growing in California, especially in the Tri-Valley, which encompasses the cities of San Ramon, Pleasanton, Dublin, Danville and Livermore.
The sport is so popular at Fallon Middle School in Dublin and Harvest Park Middle School in Pleasanton that both plan to field cricket clubs this year, making them among the first schools in the Bay Area — possibly the state — to offer the sport.
“People are playing in Fremont, Cupertino, San Jose and Milpitas,” Copeland said. “But not in the schools.”
After Labor Day, the Tri-Valley could make history: Fallon and Harvest Park are preparing for what Copeland calls California’s first interschool cricket match. Other schools may also join, elevating it from a game to a tournament.
The proliferation of the sport, which was born in Britain and became hugely popular in South Asia in the colonial era, is just one indicator of changing times — and changing demographics — in the Tri-Valley. Once a collection of small, rural and largely white towns, the region is now a booming suburb that’s home to thousands of new Asian residents.
Between 2000 and 2013, San Ramon’s Indian population increased 600 percent — from 1,390 to 9,720 residents. The small suburban city now has a higher percentage of Asians living in it than San Francisco or San Jose — 39.5 percent.
Since 1980, the percentage of Asians living in Pleasanton more or less doubled every decade — from 2.5 to 5.6 to 11.7 to 23.1 percent of the population in 2010. Proportionally, Pleasanton’s Asian community was almost twice as large as that of Los Angeles in 2013. Continue reading this article
Today’s liberal campuses would make Pol Pot feel comfortable, given their extreme enforcement of leftist dogma, where no deviation is permitted. Using verboten phrases like “illegal alien” can bring punishment for students, who are encouraged to engage in classroom discussion, but only with approved opinions. Colleges chatter endlessly about the importance of racial diversity, but they largely oppose diversity of thought, which used to be a central component of advanced education.
On Saturday, the Fox News morning show had a discussion of college speech prohibitions, where we learn that students must not disparage illegal aliens by naming them accurately, because the tender feelings of foreign job thieves might be hurt. Self-esteem numero uno!
PETE HEGSETH: It’s back-to-school time all across the country but some college students at Washington State University are in for a rude awakening — I feel like this might happen a few other campuses as well — that’s because some professors at Washington State are telling them that if they say words like illegal alien or female their grades could actually suffer. Sterling Beard is the editor-in-chief of CampusReform.org. Sterling, thank you very much for joining us. I want to run through a couple of these professors in the class and then get you to comment on it. If you take Professor Selena Lester Breikss’ class in Women & Popular Culture, the class policy is no use of the words Females, Males or Illegal Aliens, and if you use those words, you could be removed from class without participation points or fail an assignment. How can this be?
BEARD: It was born out of a desire to sort of keep the classroom environment healthy and good learning environment, but the problem is when you’re out long terms like Illegal Alien or Male and Female, especially in a course where a professor expect students to engage with controversial material, no matter how well-intentioned, that’s an attempt to control student speech and it’s an intent to influence their opinions. That’s the sort of thing you can’t really have at a good college.
HEGSETH: Well we know it’s something that’s happening at a lot of colleges. Okay, let’s say I skip that class, but that I went to professor Rebecca Fowler’s class called Introduction to Comparative Ethnic Studies. Now in this policy students will not use the word illegal aliens or illegals: the punishment is one point deducted every time they use those words. So really, the speech codes have gone into just not saying things but you’re hurt if you say them in this class.
BEARD: That’s absolutely the case and we actually reached out Professor Fowler. She told us that her objection to the term illegal immigration was that it actually had sort of become synonymous in popular culture with illegal border crossings from south of the border rather than from everywhere, but using her terms of undocumented immigrant or undocumented migrants or person only further confuses the issue. We don’t use these euphemisms for other illegal activity. Nobody said in the Vietnam War that a draft dodger was an undocumented soldier for example.
HEGSETH: No, the contortions are endless. One more professor so we skip those two, now we’re in the clear right, with John Streamas in his class Introduction to Multicultural Literature. In this class policy, you have to defer to the experiences of people in color and reflect on your own social location and — there’s that word privileges — power. The punishment if you don’t is removal from class. So is this white privilege in classroom form?
BEARD: It’s absolutely white privilege in classroom form. Of course the problem is when you’re engaging in controversial material that these courses cover, even if you want to honestly question or want to learn, you always run the risk of offending a fellow classmate especially if you are expected to defer to the experiences of nonwhite students. Of course there are consequences if you’re not respectful in that course.
It sounds like a white student would have to be a masochist to be comfortable on campus these days.
More seriously, the universities have become willing training grounds for young cadres of leftist activists. Academic fields have been turned into schools for learning political tactics to promote socialism and race diversity. The campuses are the breeding grounds for campaigns like Occupy and Black Lives Matter that do nothing but spew hateful division, violence and destruction. The Occupy movement camped in city business districts to complain about capitalism with the only result being crime and filth. Black Lives Matter destroyed businesses in Ferguson and promoted rioting in Baltimore. Continue reading this article
It’s easy to visualize the robot aspect of the smart machine revolution, with post-human manufacturing happening more and more. We are accustomed to images of big robot arms constructing automobiles with no people in sight, but there is also plenty of technological unemployment that is being created by computers. Some white collar professions are just as endangered as the last century’s middle-class factory jobs.
One example is fewer clerks doing financial work in big companies, because software has automated many tasks like accounts payable and other bookkeeping behaviors. The Wall Street Journal reported in May that since 2004, the median number of full-time employees in the finance departments of big companies has declined 40 percent.
There’s a decline in law offices as well. While the public picture of the law is attorneys debating the guilt or innocence of accused criminals, much legal work is paper shuffling, case law research, contracts and other tasks that computers can automate.
It’s curious that none of the Presidential candidates mention automation as a growing problem to employment, even as they all promise to increase jobs for Americans. One obvious fact is that the nation won’t need to import millions of immigrants to do jobs that won’t exist because of automation, robots and computers.
Kaplan said any person that toils through many “repetitive and structured” tasks for a living won’t be safe from the bread lines.
“Even for what you think of as highly-trained, highly-skilled, intuitive personable professions, it is still true that the vast majority of the work is routine,” Kaplan told Tech Insider.
Lawyers, for example, may conjure up images of formidable debators pontificating in front of grand juries, but the reality is much more mundane.
“The vast majority of activities that lawyers are engaged in are straightforward drafting of contracts, putting together things like apartment leases, real estate deals, pre-trial discovery,” Kaplan said. “It’s these very tasks that make the profession susceptible to automation.”
Startups are already springing up to take on these time-consuming and expensive chores. Kaplan lists just a few of them in his book — Judicata uses statistical methods called machine learning and natural language processing to automatically find relevant court cases. Continue reading this article
Donald Trump’s un-consultantized speech about political matters has had many positive results, most particularly honesty about immigration and borders. Also high on the list of accomplishments is his effective mauling of political correctness.
Trump’s bluntness has been a welcome change from the leftist barrage of things we are not supposed to say because we might hurt the illegal aliens’ feelings. Limitation of speech is one step away from thought control. As George Orwell wrote in the book 1984, “In a time of deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.”
TRUMP: I think the big problem this country has is being politically correct.
I’ve been challenged by so many people, and I don’t frankly have time for total political correctness. And to be honest with you, this country doesn’t have time either. This country is in big trouble. We don’t win anymore. We lose to China. We lose to Mexico both in trade and at the border. We lose to everybody.
I learned something by reading a Wednesday front-page New York Times story, that technology and smartphones fuel the current multitude of illegal immigration from Africa, Asia and the Middle East. The internet helps any Mohammed from Senegal to Kabul to make his way across thousands of miles of foreign territory to the welfare offices of his dreams in northern Europe.
Got that smartphone battery loaded up? Time for Islam boyz to invade stupid infidels in Europe then.
The Camp of the Saints scenario of the 1970s was bad enough. Now the globalized information of the internet empowers diverse unfriendly hordes looking for a handout. Invaders can use their smartphones to plot their own route or hook up with a trafficker. They can keep up with border changes, police movements and available freebies — all the better to swarm European societies whose leaders are too clueless to recognize an invasion when it is happening to them.
BELGRADE, Serbia — The tens of thousands of migrants who have flooded into the Balkans in recent weeks need food, water and shelter, just like the millions displaced by war the world over. But there is also one other thing they swear they cannot live without: a smartphone charging station.
“Every time I go to a new country, I buy a SIM card and activate the Internet and download the map to locate myself,” Osama Aljasem, a 32-year-old music teacher from Deir al-Zour in Syria, explained as he sat on a broken park bench in Belgrade, staring at his smartphone and plotting his next move into northern Europe.
“I would never have been able to arrive at my destination without my smartphone,” he added. “I get stressed out when the battery even starts to get low.”
Technology has transformed this 21st-century version of a refugee crisis, not least by making it easier for millions more people to move. It has intensified the pressures on routes that prove successful — like this one through the Balkans, where the United Nations said Tuesday that about 3,000 people a day continued to cross the border from Greece into Macedonia.
In this modern migration, smartphone maps, global positioning apps, social media and WhatsApp have become essential tools.
Migrants depend on them to post real-time updates about routes, arrests, border guard movements and transport, as well as places to stay and prices, all the while keeping in touch with family and friends.
The first thing many do once they have successfully navigated the watery passage between Turkey and Greece is pull out a smartphone and send loved ones a message that they made it.
Much of the change is driven by the tens of thousands of middle-class Syrians who have been displaced by war. But the use of such tools is by no means limited to them, but rather used by migrants from Africa and the Middle East to Afghanistan and Pakistan. Continue reading this article
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